The first 10

When we build our next project we should only worry about the first 10.

The first 10 people we tell.

These first 10 people are people that we know, people that like us, trust us and value our opinion. If they don’t tell anyone, we need to start again. Re-build our project, or find another one. But if they tell another 5. And then that 5 tell another 3. Then we can be pretty sure that it is start start of work that matters. Work that people need.

At the start of our next launch we should really think hard about these three words: the first 10.

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the new FMCG strategy

As far as I can tell this is the strategy of every large FMCG company – (Fast moving consumer goods – think supermarket and convenience stores).

  • Keep prices low. Never take a price rise.
  • Sell to who we’ve always sold to.
  • Only make things the factory can make.
  • Focus on volume, that’s what keeps the factory busy.
  • Deliver short term quarterly profits.
  • Innovate incrementally. Flavours, sizes, fragrances, colors.
  • Only invest in a brand if there is an immediate return in sales.
  • Buy media on mainstream channels. Interruption marketing.
  • Buy startups who innovate in our category.
  • Conduct significant research to test ‘everything’. Make all changes research suggests. Safety in research. Don’t be edgy.
  • Roll out good ideas from one market (Country) in all countries.

And this industry wonders why it fails to grow, increase revenue or attract change agents. As someone who has worked in the space for many years, it’s time someone told the industry to forget everything they think they know. This strategy isn’t working. It’s why companies like Kraft foods have the same share price they had 10 years ago. That is zero capital growth. It’s one example of many large multinationals with a similar financial performance.

So far the consumer goods industry has been quite lucky. They’ve been insulated from the effect the web has had. But this is all about to change. Startups, innovators and Amazon will come. The squeeze is about to happen, and unless they reverse their strategy over the last 50 years, the future is not bright. In fact they need to flip everything they currently do:

The new FMCG strategy (for those who want to thrive more than survive)

  • Innovate so that price is not an issue. Make stuff people will pay a premium for.
  • Open up new channels of distribution. Over invest. Compete against their retailers.
  • Make things people want. Focus on the design of the product, not compiling it. (Manufacturing)
  • Focus on revenue. Ignore volume. Remove it from all tracking and all documentation. Report everything in dollars.
  • Do not give the market forecasts. Report results on year end only once.
  • Innovate dramatically. Embrace failed launches. Most fail anyway, so get more to market.
  • Invest in brands without expecting a short term revenue boost.
  • Build your own brand media channels.
  • Set up startups in your category. Put them in a skunk woks facility. Different space for a new culture. Then sell the startup to your competitors. Do it again.
  • Do not do market research. Only research what can be done & know how to do it. Invent the future for the audience
  • Sack all global marketing & innovation teams. Innovate locally.

This won’t happen in most large FMCG companies. There is too much to protect. Things like reputations, executive bonuses and careers. The courageous few will try. But 10 years from now every FMCG will be asking what happened, just like information industries and the car industry did. The change is coming whether they like it or not.

 

Business trends in 2011

A great piece from the Cannes Advertising Festival which is a great summary of key trends in business, more than advertising or marketing. Enjoy!

[slideshare id=8393334&doc=12trendsfromcannes2011-110622171131-phpapp01]

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Pop culture knowledge

Pop culture knowledge used to be about knowing who was atop of the leader board:

  1. the top of the billboard chart
  2. the number 1 movie
  3. the best selling pair of jeans
  4. the best selling athletic shoe
  5. the best picture at the Academy awards
  6. the most popular celebrity endorser
  7. … popularity contest X

This knowledge was a quick reference asset. It was worth keeping tabs on.

Pop culture has changed.

Now it’s about knowing what’s coming next. Knowing who’s already here is of little value. Anyone can find that out in a moments notice, it’s public and omnipresent on the web. Knowing who or what will be hot 6 months from now is where the currency is.  And that takes constant assessment and curation of the content. That is an art in itself.

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Change the currency

I heard a great little story today about how to overcome barriers when pitching business, changing minds or influencing in general.

Changing worldviews is hard, often impossible. But there are two possible routes we can take when trying:

Route (A) We can try and change peoples view on a topic- change the unchangeable.

Route (B) We can change the currency. – This route is invariably more successful because it re-directs peoples perspective.

Car sales people do it all the time. Once the negotiation is close to reaching a stale mate on price, they then bring in the optional extras: Items removed from price. Although they do have a value, it changes the view point of the negotiation. It’s a change in currency. And the discussions can progress to a close.

When trying to reach an agreement, or change a mindset, we need to re-invent the currency of what is being discussed.

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2 horse race

If you haven’t already read the 22 Laws of marketing – then you should. It’s a short book which really should be called the 22 laws on entrepreneurship. It seems that most of the laws are true on a category scale – the type of scale that startups with big dreams should pay attention two. recently I’ve been reminded of the law 8: The law of duality.

The Law of Duality says that “in the long run, every market becomes a two-horse race.”

The most recent example of this is Twitter and Facebook. it seems as though they’ve won the social web race. Every brand or advertisement is now tagged with ‘find us on Twitter & Facebook’. We have to look pretty hard to find any of the other 400+ social networking sites. It seems the Law of duality is still true almost 2 years after it was written. It seems that certain power laws of dominance still exist, even though we all like to believe the market has fragmented and opened up for everyone….

The truth is there is only so much space in the mind. We can’t carry the baggage of too many ideas with us. So we simplify by limiting what we participate in. There’s lots new world industry examples of the law of duality.

Social: Facebook  & Twitter

Search: Google & Bing

Mobile: iPhone & Android

Computers: PC & Mac

The question for internet entrepreneurs, is which new categories are still to get their number 2 player. That is where the opportunity lies.

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