Precipice Theorem

Once upon a time in a land called “the Western World” a beast called Mass Production was born. Many wealthy industrialists earned some lovely little profits by making widgets for the masses. The people loved their western widgets and proudly consumed them and showed all their friends.

They all grew richer and consumed more and more. Everyone lived happily ever after… for about 200 years. Then the Wicked Witch called ‘Dichotomy of incomes” arrived. She placed an evil spell on the mass market conglomerates and ruined it for all the wealthy Industrialists. The profits fell out of the mass market and she turned the world on its head.

Enter; Precipice Theorem (p) Only on the extreme edge do highly profitable entrepreneurial opportunites exist.

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If you want to have a successful start up, then make sure your “Idea” is on the precipice. A product for everyone is a product for no one. Besides, all this space is already taken by the biggest companies on the planet.

Premature Incorporation

A potential investor asked if we have a company registered. I answered an honest “No”. Turns out, this is a good thing. Depending on the deal your strike company structures vary significantly. If you already have one in place it just makes it harder.

structure

Investors prefer a clean slate and honesty. Not two blokes in a garage pretending to be a company who still haven’t sold anything.

Government Sledge

Don’t waste your time chasing government grants in Australia. You are wasting your valuable time.

Unless you have a unique technology or patent, they simply don’t want to know you. If you don’t make anything in a factory or employ people, they don’t get it. The type of business that has a chance in the new world they won’t rate. They fail to understand the knowledge economy. They’re bureaucrats for heavens sake, of course they don’t get it. Forget the fact you will be paying your 30% corporate tax rate, or potentially providing employment. It’s also irrelevant that you may have paid hundreds of thousands in tax in the preceding 10 years. No give and take, just take. There is no cash available for people trying to improve themselves or be less reliant on society. Sorry, cash in Australia is only handed out to people who make no economic contribution. 

Any business concept that has a chance in the new world, wouldn’t get Gov funding. Your business needs to live on the precipice. They don’t understand consumer innovation, only production innovation.

 We spend the best part of two months chasing a specific Australian Grant called COMET. The maximum funding available was $50,000, of which it had to be paid back, once the business could afford to do so. It simply turned into a phone call circus and department re-routing exercise.

They want to see two things:

  1. Revenue
  2. Employees

Oxymoronic,  for a start up.

Type of business’ they want to see:

  • Anything to do with China
  • Alternative energy
  • Assisting indigenous populations
  • Apprenticeships
  • Patents
  • Environmental technologies

All valid in their own right. However, does this mean all future opportunities in the globe pertain to these domains only? No. Don’t let this discourage you. If you feel your passion and ideas are strong. Chase it. I am guessing the Government get it wrong occasionally!

As an entrepreneur invest tour time talking to potential partners, customers, business angels. They will help you get your cash quickest. They are opportunists. The Government are administrators.

Advise, don’t depend on the government. In a politically stable environment such as
Australia they will not determine your success.

Time Bomb

 A mentor is careful with his words and the meaning behind all he says. I mentioned how difficult it is doing this when I could be earning X working. He stopped me and said, “Your time isn’t free, you just chose to hire it out to yourself. This is because you know how valuable you are.”

Never under value what you are worth and the opportunity cost of your time. Use it wisely while you can afford it.  

The Power of 2

Momentum is vital in getting your start up to revenue. Other business ventures I have tried and failed with have been with more than two people, or alone. Consider the power of two. Nature made it this way. Nature is smart. interdepedence

Put simply, when you have too many contributors early on, there isn’t enough contribution. It’s easy to get lost in ‘who is doing what’. It’s less accountable. It can get confusing. You turn up to the next meeting and Joey didn’t contact Timmy because he thought Andy was doing it. You get the picture.

By yourself, it is hard to maintain momentum. You need a special level of discipline, most of us don’t have. There is no reliance on one another. No bouncing ideas. No pulling each other out of a quagmire. No bullying.

I’m not saying it can’t work with one or many, it’s just harder. Starting up is hard enough on its own.  With two there are no committees. You will also find out quickly if you are both as committed as each other. There is no where to hide. Actions are clear because they are decided with a person to person conversation. Markets are conversations.

Forget there is no majority. If you can’t come to a decision without a majority vote you should go and get a job with Joe Punchclock.

Family Car Theory

Today we met with a Venture capitalist and potential business partner. He arrived in a Range Rover 4WD. A flash car in any country.

Got me thinking about his general financial position. Cars create strong impressions about wealth and success. If a potential business partner arrives in a 20 year old junk heap you can’t be blamed for thinking you don’t want to deal with him.

Your best bet is a new-ish family sedan such as a Ford or Holden. It removes the question from peoples mind on both sides of the equation.Commodre

You want to remain confident in their ability, but you certainly don’t want to believe they are about to stitch you up and buy a new car with the profits.

What message does your vehicle send to your investors?

Close Knit Consortium

During the struggle to get the cash the ‘close knit consortium’ was proposed. It works as follows;

Decide on the size of the raise. Determine how much equity you are prepared to forgo. Determine the number of participants. For example $500k for 40% share, from 20 people. Hence, one parcel of $25,000 would then equate to a 2% stake in the firm. Participants can buy multiple parcels.

Important: More than 20 investors requires a prospectus. 

Your best bet is colleagues. Those who’ve been telling you for 10 years to go out on your own.

The reason is 2 fold:

  1. They believe in you and your potential.
  2. Vicarious living is alluring.

In addition, you’ll feel less guilty losing the money of a grand standing corporate vassal.

Family – I wouldn’t take their money, as I value our relationship more than their bank balance. If you can only get it from them, you might need to question your business proposition. Two guys in a garage must realise that Macquarie Bank  is hardly about to invite you into their boardroom. You have to leverage connections and be audacious.

When engaging prospects tell them about the 90/9/1 reality:

  • A 90% chance of losing their money
  • A 9% chance of getting it back
  • A 1% chance of making 10 times their cash

The law of candor is largely underrated.  

You will be able to reduce your cost of capital considerably by selling risk in smaller chunks. Risk is bought exponentially. The larger the chunk of risk, the higher the cost of capital.

This is easier than you think. While broaching the topic of funding many of my colleagues have said they will invest a small bundle of cash of $10k – $20k. This is a small risk for bragging rights and the potential to own a bit of the dream. it could be likened to owning shares in a race horse.

Currently we have a list of 20 names ready to go. However, It’s our backup plan. Remember 20 colleagues funding your widget won’t give you expert mentoring, but you may end up with 20 unwanted CEO’s.

It is also possible to put in buy back clauses for their share. Who wouldn’t be hapy with 5 times their initial investment in 2 years?

If any friends are telling you to just do it and stop mucking around, just say “Sure thing, write me cheque for $500K and I will start tomorrow!”